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The Future of the "Islamic State" Provinces and Affiliates

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Venue: Issam Fares Institute - Auditorium (Green Oval) - American University of Beirut, Lebanon

Monday, March 20th, 2017
8:30 – 9:00
9:00 – 9:30
Welcoming Remarks:
Dr. Tarek Mitri, Director of the Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy and International Affairs, American University of Beirut
Nils Wörmer, Head of the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung Syria (KAS)/Iraq Office
9:30 – 10:00
Keynote speech
Dr. Ole Schröder, Parliamentary State Secretary at the German Federal Ministry of the Interior
10:00 – 11:30
Panel 1: The Islamic State’s Core: Syria and Iraq
Chair: Ali Al-Mawlawi, Al-Bayan Center for Planning and Studies, Baghdad

Overview of the Current Military Situation in Syria and Iraq
Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi, Middle East Forum, Philadelphia

IS’s Administration of Offshoots and Branches
Mara Revkin, Abdallah S. Kamel Center for the Study of Islamic Law and Civilization, Yale Law School, New Haven

The Organization and its Ideology
Dr. Guido Steinberg, German Institute for International and Security Affairs, Berlin
11:30 – 12:00
Coffee Break
12:00 – 13:30
Panel 2: IS Threat to the Neighboring Countries
Chair: Dr. Bashshar Haydar, American University of Beirut, Lebanon

Why Did IS Fail in Lebanon?
George Fakhry, University of Massachusetts, Boston

IS Impact in Turkey
Dr. Umut Koldaş, Near East Institute, Nicosia

IS Activities on the Arabian Peninsula
Dr. Abdullah bin Khaled a​l-Saud, International Centre for the Study of Radicalization, London
13:30 – 15:00
Lunch Break
15:00 – 16:30


Panel 3: IS Footprint in Northern Africa
Chair: Dr. Canan Atilgan, Head of KAS Regional Programme Political Dialog and Regional Integration South Mediterranean (PolDiMed), Tunis

The Wilayat Sinai in Egypt
Jasmine El-Gamal, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council, Washington D.C.

The IS Libya Province
Mohamed Eljarh, Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East, Atlantic Council, Washington D.C.​

The Attractiveness of IS in Tunisia
Dr. Emna Ben Arab, Tunisian Institute for Strategic Studies, Tunis

Tuesday, March 21st, 2017
8:30 – 9:00
9:00 – 10:30
Panel 4: The Khorasan Province: Afghanistan and Pakistan
Chair: Matthias Riesenkampff, Head of KAS Afghanistan Office, Kabul

The Emergence and Structure of IS in Afghanistan and Pakistan
Said ​Intizar Khadim, Voice Welfare Foundation, Kabul

Evaluation of IS’s Current and Future Potential in Afghanistan
Khalid Gharanai, Research Associate, KAS Afghanistan Office, Kabul

Evaluation of IS’s Current and Future Potential in Pakistan
Dr. Zafar Nawaz Jaspal, School of Politics and International Relations at Quadi-i-Azam University, Islamabad
10:30 – 11:00

Cofee Break
11:00 – 12:30
Panel 5: IS Affiliates in West Africa
Chair: Tinko Weibezahl, Head of KAS Regional Programme Security and Political Dialogue Sub-Saharan Africa (SIPODI), Abidjan

Boko Haram in Niger and Nigeria
Maman Aminou Amadou Koundy, Magistrate, Niamey

The ISGS in Mali
Lt Col Souleymane Sangare, Military Engineer, Bamako

IS’s Influence on the Future of West Africa and its Conflicts
Yaya Bio Bawa, Institute for Security Studies, Addis Ababa
12:30 – 14:00
Lunch Break
14:00 – 15:30
Panel 6: IS Terror Network in Europe
Chair: Dr. Kristina Eichhorst, Coordinator Crisis and Conflict Management, KAS Berlin

IS Attack Network in France and Belgium
Dr. Florence Gaub, European Union Institute for Security Studies, Paris

IS Footprint in Germany
Florian Wätzel, Institute for Security Policy at Kiel University, Kiel

IS Cells’ Structure in the UK
Mubaraz Ahmed, Center on Religion and Geopolitics, London
15:30 – 16:00
Dr. Nelly Lahoud, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Manama

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